2026 tournament complete
A 1-0 extra-time victory over Argentina delivered Spain's second star. Here is the final bracket and the model's honest scorecard.
the final verdict
Spain completed its unbeaten run in New Jersey, while the model finished its frozen 2026 knockout audit at 10 correct regulation-time calls from 16 matches.
Ferran Torres settled the final in the 106th minute at New York New Jersey Stadium.
Official final report ↗A call is correct only when the model picks the right home win, draw, or away win after 90 minutes. Extra-time and shootout winners are evaluated separately from that regulation result.
the completed road to new york
Every result from the quarter-finals through the final whistle.
the model's final record
The frozen 2026 score uses only pre-tournament training data. The wider walk-forward record tests every match with only earlier results available.
tournament progression
Loading accuracy trend.
2026 trust check
Loading calibration.
2026 decision profile
frozen 2026 holdout
scoring rules
all 16 calls
match simulator
Replay any completed fixture or create a custom neutral-site matchup with the final model.
pre-final model verdict
-- chance before the final
Evaluating every route to the final.
completed route
Loading tournament route.
last forecast
Loading title probabilities.
Calculating every possible final pairing.
setup
model output
how to read it
No prediction has been run.